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PRELIMINARY DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
14 MAY, 2008
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(Based in-part on SEC Data.)
(The final report will be released tommorrow.)
PRELIMINARY SOLAR & GEOPHYSICAL INDICES FOR 14 MAY, 2008
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DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
Predicted Solar Flux for Next 3 Days: 70, 70, 70.
Average 90-day Solar Flux: 71.
Current Middle Latitude A-Index: 4
Current Boulder K-Indices: 1201 221*
Current Planetary K-Indices: 1100 101*
Boulder A-Index 3-Day Forecast: 5, 5, 5.
Planetary A-Index 3-Day Forecast: 5, 5, 5.
SYNOPSIS OF TODAYS ACTIVITY
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Solar activity has been very low. The active region
that has been producing low-level flares from behind the southeast
limb made its transit onto the visible solar disk. This region is
currently spotless and has not produced any events.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 mev
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet conditions for the forecast period of 15-17
may.
Event probabilities 15 may-17 may
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 may-17 may
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
** End of Daily Report **