/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY 31 AUGUST, 2010 /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data) SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 31 AUGUST, 2010 ---------------------------------------------------------- NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today. !!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 243, 08/31/10 10.7 FLUX=072.0 90-AVG=078 SSN=027 BKI=0000 1110 BAI=001 BGND-XRAY=A6.7 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1000 1011 PAI=002 BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000 XRAY-MAX= B1.6 @ 2245UT XRAY-MIN= A5.9 @ 0715UT XRAY-AVG= A1.5 NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0% PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00 GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00 FLUXFCST=STD:076,076,076;SESC:076,076,076 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005 KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=000,000 27DAY-KP= WARNINGS= ALERTS= !!END-DATA!! NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 AUG 10 is not available. The Full Kp Indices for 31 AUG 10 are: 1o 0o 0+ 0+ 1- 0o 1+ 1o The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 31 AUG 10 are: 4 0 2 2 3 0 5 4 Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 31 AUG is: 4.1E+08 DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: 72.0, 72.0, 72.7 sfu. SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY -------------------- Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1101 (N12W19) and region 1102 (N28W40) both remained stable and quiet. No flares were observed on the visible disk. No new regions were numbered today. Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be at very low levels for the next three days (01-03 september). The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period. Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (01-03 september). Event probabilities 01 sep-03 sep Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 sep-03 sep A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS ======================================================= Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z ----------------------------------------------------- Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1101 N12W19 083 0140 Hrx 02 01 Alpha 1102 N28W40 104 0080 Cro 06 06 Beta Regions Due to Return 01 Sep to 03 Sep Nmbr Lat Lo 1098 N14 303 LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 31 AUGUST, 2010 ----------------------------------------------------- Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None ** End of Daily Report **