/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ PRELIMINARY DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY 03 FEBRUARY, 2012 /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ (Based in-part on SEC Data.) (The final report will be released tommorrow.) PRELIMINARY SOLAR & GEOPHYSICAL INDICES FOR 03 FEBRUARY, 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------- DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu. Predicted Solar Flux for Next 3 Days: 110, 110, 105. Average 90-day Solar Flux: 141. Current Middle Latitude A-Index: 7 Current Boulder K-Indices: 2222 321* Current Planetary K-Indices: 2212 211* Boulder A-Index 3-Day Forecast: 4, 5, 4. Planetary A-Index 3-Day Forecast: 5, 5, 5. SYNOPSIS OF TODAYS ACTIVITY --------------------------- Solar activity was at very low levels. The disk and limb was quiet and stable with no earth-directed cmes observed during the period. Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next three days (04 - 06 february). The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated high latitude active periods due to the waning effects of a geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream. During the period, ace satellite observations indicated wind speeds averaged about 425 km/s while the bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field varied between +/- 5 nt. Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (04 - 06 february). Event probabilities 04 feb-06 feb Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green Geomagnetic activity probabilities 04 feb-06 feb A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/10/10 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 ** End of Daily Report **