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| | | |-+  December 16 - 17, 2006		 0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
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Author Topic: December 16 - 17, 2006  (Read 8072 times)
Milwaukee
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« on: 15 December 2006, 17:24:22 GMT »
Cautiously optimistic this one will be needed...

My guess is impact at 1250 UTC on 16 Dec.
« Last Edit: 15 December 2006, 17:28:32 GMT by Milwaukee » Logged
maxm
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« Reply #1 on: 15 December 2006, 18:02:18 GMT »
Bummer, It will be cloudy in SE WI at that time. Not too mention lunar interferecne. What is the KP now?

max Sad
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Milwaukee
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« Reply #2 on: 15 December 2006, 18:58:07 GMT »
SE WI should be fairly clear by nightfall tomorrow through the early hours on Sunday CST.
I suppose we wont know until the night of, but generally looks favorable.
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Jeff VE6EFR
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N61.6148 (Geomagnetic)


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« Reply #3 on: 15 December 2006, 18:58:37 GMT »
KP is showing at 4.6 at the moment.
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« Reply #4 on: 15 December 2006, 20:04:07 GMT »
Looks like the Lasco images are updated to include the latest X1.5 flare, seems to me to confirm the expected CME.

~Scott
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maxm
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« Reply #5 on: 15 December 2006, 20:13:03 GMT »
It looks like the next CME hit will be weak since it was not directed at earth( spaceweather.com).

Current Kp activitity is fading fast. I don't think we are going to get lucky again for a while.  I am not very experienced at reading the data and images so please correct me if I am wrong.

Max
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Milwaukee
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« Reply #6 on: 15 December 2006, 21:42:58 GMT »
The LASCO C3 frame from 2318 Dec14 seems to show it......definitely looks like a glancing blow, but well worth a look on Saturday night - maybe what it lacks in quantity will be made up in quality?
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