BlueBrained
First Aurora Photo 05/15/05
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 108
Magnetic Latitude 49.34
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« on: 13 September 2005, 20:41:22 GMT » |
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How long does it typically take for any related CME to reach earth?
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Ellisville, MO USA
Magnetic Latitude 49.34
Aurora Chasing since November 2004.
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unlivingsava
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 153
Belgica, 51.2N/3.483E
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« Reply #1 on: 13 September 2005, 20:48:08 GMT » |
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42 till 72hours
it all depends on how fast the cme goes, 808 released fast CME's within 30hours
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BlueBrained
First Aurora Photo 05/15/05
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 108
Magnetic Latitude 49.34
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« Reply #2 on: 13 September 2005, 20:57:03 GMT » |
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42 till 72hours
it all depends on how fast the cme goes, 808 released fast CME's within 30hours
Thanks I was just wondering b/c 808 just had 2 X1 flares in the last hour. Unfortunately I am going to be in downtown Chicago Thursday through Sunday. Hopefully it gets here by tomorrow night or I am probably out of luck... |
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Ellisville, MO USA
Magnetic Latitude 49.34
Aurora Chasing since November 2004.
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unlivingsava
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 153
Belgica, 51.2N/3.483E
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« Reply #3 on: 13 September 2005, 20:58:02 GMT » |
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i guess tomorrownight is the night...
there is a lot of cme comming our way...!!!
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BlueBrained
First Aurora Photo 05/15/05
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 108
Magnetic Latitude 49.34
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« Reply #4 on: 13 September 2005, 21:06:06 GMT » |
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i guess tomorrownight is the night...
there is a lot of cme comming our way...!!!
I hope it is tomorrow night!!! I will still be in rural country then!!! |
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Ellisville, MO USA
Magnetic Latitude 49.34
Aurora Chasing since November 2004.
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unlivingsava
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 153
Belgica, 51.2N/3.483E
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« Reply #5 on: 13 September 2005, 21:11:34 GMT » |
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my guess is that severe storm is possible, so maybe at the other place you could see some activity (but i raealy dont know what chicago has of latitude, is it mid or low latitude ?)
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BlueBrained
First Aurora Photo 05/15/05
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 108
Magnetic Latitude 49.34
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« Reply #6 on: 13 September 2005, 21:21:55 GMT » |
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Chicago, IL
41.81N -87.68W
Magnetic Latitude = 52.2
But it is one of the largest cities in North America and I am staying in a hotel downtown without a car. So unless the storm is huge the city lights will overpower the Aurora.
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« Last Edit: 13 September 2005, 21:25:27 GMT by BlueBrained »
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Ellisville, MO USA
Magnetic Latitude 49.34
Aurora Chasing since November 2004.
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unlivingsava
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 153
Belgica, 51.2N/3.483E
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« Reply #7 on: 13 September 2005, 21:26:33 GMT » |
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too much light pollution, probaply you wont see anything there :s
i hope for you it get soon here!
i have a 100% cloudpercentage for the following nights so i will sure miss a lot
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Ukiyo-e
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 98
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« Reply #8 on: 13 September 2005, 22:04:34 GMT » |
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BlueBrained, maybe the hotel has a roof garden....you might be able to skyview from some of the tall buildings...just a thought..
clear skies!
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"...more commonly a type 13 planet is unintentionally collapsed
into a pea sized object by scientists trying to determine the mass
of the Higgs-Boson particle." 790 to Xev (LEXX)
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Kudos
Auroral Observer
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« Reply #9 on: 14 September 2005, 02:15:39 GMT » |
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According to NOAA, this CME has a velocity of nearly 1500 kps. At that speed, the CME will reach Earth in 27.5 hours. LASCO shows the CME left at 20:00 UTC, so it could be here as early as 23:30 UTC, Wednesday or 6:30 PM EST.
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Maryland
39°03'N 77°09'W
Magnetic Latitude 49°
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Prairie Journal
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 119
"The Prairie" - Full of many hidden surprises!
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« Reply #10 on: 14 September 2005, 02:34:30 GMT » |
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The earlier, the better. If this holds true, this is 5:30 CDT, and 3 hours and 45 minutes until darkness.
I love going out when it's still light in the west, and then looking at the northeast sky trying to pick out the lights as it gets darker.
Bring it on.
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Hyperbaric
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Posts: 2
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« Reply #11 on: 14 September 2005, 10:00:54 GMT » |
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According to NOAA, this CME has a velocity of nearly 1500 kps. At that speed, the CME will reach Earth in 27.5 hours. LASCO shows the CME left at 20:00 UTC, so it could be here as early as 23:30 UTC, Wednesday or 6:30 PM EST.
I really hope that this one does arrive around that time... have missed out on everything from this spot due to either the CME arriving during daylight hours, or being clouded out. Weather for here looks promising for tonight, and 2330 would be spot on  |
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Bob J
Auroral Observer
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The truth is out there.....
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« Reply #12 on: 14 September 2005, 23:22:50 GMT » |
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I certainly hope so too! It's been clear all day and now it looks like we have high clouds moving in... I can only hope the clouds hold off long enough for the show  |
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Boston MA CGL 51.7N
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Dave
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 524
Aurora chaser since 2000
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« Reply #13 on: 14 September 2005, 23:36:47 GMT » |
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Dave, i`m just a bit west of Akron...i`m in hopes the front is moving through a little
ahead of the predictions.
Winds are supposed to be out of the North tonight, looking at clear sky clock theres a
big clearing from north western ohio extending on over through lake erie.
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41.01N 81.61W
Corrected Magnetic Latitude 51
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babyhobbes
Auroral Observer
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Posts: 94
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« Reply #14 on: 14 September 2005, 23:40:05 GMT » |
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So, the consensus it that this will be arriving more around midnight than right now? (7:30P) I think I may have time for a nap after work.
I noticed the clear sky clock out of Toledo looks a bit better than here. I am planning to drive near Sandusky.
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Aurora Chaser in Toledo, Ohio.
41.664N -83.555W
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